What is Yield curve?

The yield curve is a line showing the interest rates (yields) on government bonds from short to long maturities.

Normally, longer-term bonds pay more than short-term ones, so the curve slopes upward. When short-term yields rise above long-term yields, the curve is 'inverted'. Common comparisons are the 10-year versus 2-year Treasury, or 10-year versus 3-month.

Why it matters to you

An inverted yield curve has preceded most US recessions in the past 50 years, though the timing varies and it is not a guarantee.

Latest data

10-year Treasury yield

FAQ

What is Yield curve?

The yield curve is a line showing the interest rates (yields) on government bonds from short to long maturities.

What does a normal yield curve look like?

Upward sloping: longer-term bonds yield more than short-term ones.

Related terms

Inverted yield curve · Treasury bonds · Bond yield · Recession

All plain-English definitions → · Educational only, not investment advice.

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